Strategic decisions in transport: a case study for a naval base selection in Brazil

Autores

  • Amaury Caruzzo Instituto Tecnológico de Aeronáutica (ITA) Grupo de Estudos de Análise de Decisão (GEAD) http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5280-6063
  • Priscila Renata Barros Cardoso Instituto Tecnológico de Aeronáutica (ITA) Grupo de Estudos de Análise de Decisão (GEAD)
  • Hélcio Vieira Junior Comando da Aeronáutica Núcleo do Centro de Operações Espaciais Principal (NuCOPE-P)
  • Mischel Carmen Neyra Belderrain Instituto Tecnológico de Aeronáutica (ITA) Grupo de Estudos de Análise de Decisão (GEAD)

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14295/transportes.v24i1.874

Palavras-chave:

port selection, maritime transport, decision analysis, MCDA, Brazilian navy

Resumo

A decision on a military strategic environment, such as the selection of a new naval base, is a complex process and involves various criteria. In this context, few studies are available on the problems of military-naval transport decisions. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to present a maritime transport case study using a multi-methodology framework in a process of strategic decision making in logistics. Through a review of the literature, normative documents from the Brazilian armed forces, and interviews with military officers, criteria and preferences were identified and a hierarchical structure was constructed for a case study in the Brazilian Navy–the location of the second Fleet Headquarters. The results indicated that São Marcos Bay, in Maranhão State, was the best location among the alternatives. The multi-criteria approach was shown to be a valuable tool in assisting the decision making process and to understand the trade-offs between strategic and operational criteria in a transport decision.

Downloads

Não há dados estatísticos.

Biografia do Autor

Amaury Caruzzo, Instituto Tecnológico de Aeronáutica (ITA) Grupo de Estudos de Análise de Decisão (GEAD)

B.Sc Meteorology (USP), M.Sc Energy Engineering (UNIFEI) and PhD Student in Aeronautical & Mechanical Engineering (ITA).

Priscila Renata Barros Cardoso, Instituto Tecnológico de Aeronáutica (ITA) Grupo de Estudos de Análise de Decisão (GEAD)

Priscila Renata Barros Cardoso is Master in Aeronautical and Mechanical Engineering, Production area, at the Technological Institute of Aeronautics (ITA), and postgraduate in Engineering Logistics at the University of São Paulo (USP) Polytechnic School; in Brazil. Her research are concentrated in the field of Operational Research, in the methods of problem structuring and decision analysis.is Master in Aeronautical and Mechanical Engineering, Production area, at the Technological Institute of Aeronautics (ITA), and postgraduate in Engineering Logistics at the University of São Paulo (USP) Polytechnic School; in Brazil. Her research are concentrated in the field of Operational Research, in the methods of problem structuring and decision analysis.

Hélcio Vieira Junior, Comando da Aeronáutica Núcleo do Centro de Operações Espaciais Principal (NuCOPE-P)

He is a Colonel in the Brazilian Air Force. He earned a Bachelors in Aeronautics Science at the Brazilian Air Force Academy (1991); a Master's degree in Operations Research from the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil (2003); and a PhD degree in Operations Research from the Technological Institute of Aeronautics, São José dos Campos, SP, Brazil (2011). His research interest is in the area of Design of Experiments, Simulation Optimization, and Discrete-Event Simulation applied to military problems.

Mischel Carmen Neyra Belderrain, Instituto Tecnológico de Aeronáutica (ITA) Grupo de Estudos de Análise de Decisão (GEAD)

Mischel Carmen Neyra Belderrain is bachelor in Operations Research, from Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos;  Master in Computer Science – Optimization, from Federal University of Rio de Janeiro;  and Ph.D. in Operations Research from Technological Institute of Aeronautics (ITA). Currently Associate Professor at ITA. Scholarship in Research Productivity. Her research interests include the following subjects:  Multicriteria Decision Making Methods, Problem Structuring Methods (PSM) and OR Education.

Referências

Aversa, R., Botter, R. C., Haralambides, H. E., Yoshizaki, H. (2005). A Mixed Integer Programming Model on the Location of a Hub Port in the East Coast of South America. Maritime Economics & Logistics, v.7, n.1, p.1–18. doi: 10.1057/palgrave.mel.9100121

Belton, V., Stewart, T. J. (2002). Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis: An Integrated Approach (1st ed.). Berlin: Springer. doi: 10.1007/978-1-4615-1495-4

Brasil (2003). Comando da Marinha. Manual de Logística da Marinha. Publicação EMA-400.

Brasil (2004). Comando da Marinha. Doutrina Básica da Marinha. Publicação EMA-305.

Brasil (2006). Comando da Marinha. Estudo de Estado-Maior. Publicação EMA-332.

Brasil (2007a). Comando da Marinha. Guia de Estudos de Estratégia. Publicação EGN-304B.

Brasil (2007b). Comando da Marinha. Processo de Tomada de Decisão. Publicação EGN-214.

Brasil (2008). Ministry of Defense. National Strategy of Defense. <http://www.defesa.gov.br/projetosweb/estrategia/arquivos/estrategia_defesa_nacional_ingles.pdf>

Brasil (2009). Agência Nacional de Transportes Aquaviários. Plano Geral de Outorgas. <http://www.antaq.gov.br/Portal/Portos_PGO.asp >

Brasil (2010). Universidade Federal do Pará. Projeto para Esquadra da Marinha - Subsídios técnicos.

Brasil (2012). Agência Nacional de Transportes Aquaviários. Principais Portos Brasileiros (dados técnicos). <http://www.antaq.gov.br/Portal/Portos_PrincipaisPortos.asp>

Brasil (2013). Comando do Exército. Boletim do Exército - 43/2013. <http://www.sgex.eb.mil.br/sistemas/be/boletins.php>

Caruzzo, A., Trentim, M. H., Belderrain, M. C. N. (2012). Previsão meteorológica para as comissões da Esquadra brasileira: considerações sobre a gestão de risco nas operações navais. Pesquisa Naval, v.25, p.32–41. doi: 10.13140/2.1.3815.8084

Chang, Y.-T., Lee, S.-Y., Tongzon, J. L. (2008). Port selection factors by shipping lines: Different perspectives between trunk liners and feeder service providers. Mar Policy, v.32, n.6, p.877–885. doi: 10.1016/j.marpol.2008.01.003

Chou, C.-C. (2007). A fuzzy MCDM method for solving marine transshipment container port selection problems. Appl Math Comput, v.186, n.1, p.435–444. doi: 10.1016/j.amc.2006.07.125

Comes, T., Hiete, M., Wijngaards, N., Schultmann, F. (2011). Decision maps: A framework for multi-criteria decision support under severe uncertainty. Decis Support Syst, v.52, n.1, p.108–118. doi: 10.1016/j.dss.2011.05.008

Cruz, M. R. P. da, Ferreira, J. J. M., Azevedo, S. G. (2013a). Key factors of seaport competitiveness based on the stakeholder perspective: An Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) model. Maritime Economics & Logistics, v.15, n.4, p.416–443. doi: 10.1057/mel.2013.14

Cruz, M. R. P. da, Ferreira, J. J. M., Azevedo, S. G. (2013b). Logistics resources in seaport performance: multi-criteria analysis. Maritime Policy & Management, v.40, n.6, p.588–613. doi: 10.1080/03088839.2013.777979

Durbach, I. N., Stewart, T. J. (2012). Modeling uncertainty in multi-criteria decision analysis. Eur J Oper Res, v.223, n.1, p.1–14. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2012.04.038

Edwards, W., Barron, F. H. (1994). SMARTS and SMARTER: Improved Simple Methods for Multiattribute Utility Measurement. Organ Behav Hum Dec, v.60, n.3, p.306–325. doi: 10.1006/obhd.1994.1087

Ensslin, L., Giffhorn, E., Ensslin, S. R., Petri, S. M., Vianna, W. B. (2010). Avaliação do desempenho de empresas terceirizadas com o uso da metodologia multicritério de apoio à decisão - construtivista. Pesquisa Operacional, v.30, n.1, p.125–152. doi: 10.1590/S0101-74382010000100007

Farahani, R. Z., SteadieSeifi, M., Asgari, N. (2010). Multiple criteria facility location problems: A survey. Appl Math Model, v.34, n.7, p.1689–1709. doi: 10.1016/j.apm.2009.10.005

Figueira, J.; Greco,S.; Ehrgott, M. (2005). Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis: State of Art Surveys. Boston: Springer, 2005.

Franco, L. A.; Montibeller, G. (2010). Problem Structuring for Multicriteria Decision Analysis Interventions. In: COCHRAN, J.J. (Ed.). Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science. Wiley. doi: 10.1002/9780470400531.eorms0683

Gomes, L. F. A. M., Rangel, L. A. D., Leal-Junior, M. da R. (2011). Treatment of uncertainty through the interval Smart/Swing Weighting Method: a case study. Pesquisa Operacional, v.31, n.3, p.467–485. doi: 10.1590/S0101-74382011000300004

Goodwin, P., Wright, G. (2004). Decision Analysis for Management Judgment (3 ed.). West Sussex: John Wiley & Sons.

Guy, E., Urli, B. (2006). Port Selection and Multicriteria Analysis: An Application to the Montreal-New York Alternative. Maritime Economics & Logistics, v.8, p.169–186. doi: 10.1057/palgrave.mel.9100152

Hicks, L., Raney, C. (2003). The Social Impact of Military Growth in St. Mary’s County, Maryland, 1940-1995. Armed Forces & Society, v.29, n.3, p.353–371. doi: 10.1177/0095327X0302900303

Ho, W., Xu, X., Dey, P. K. (2010). Multi-criteria decision making approaches for supplier evaluation and selection: A literature review. Eur J Oper Res, v.202, n.1, p.16–24. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2009.05.009

Hostmann, M., Bernauer, T., Mosler, H.-J., Reichert, P., Truffer, B. (2005). Multi-Attribute Value Theory as a Framework for Conflict Resolution in River Rehabilitation. J. Multi-Crit. Decis. Anal., v.13, n.2-3, p.91–102. doi: 10.1002/mcda.375

Keeney, R. L. (1996). Value-focused thinking: Identifying decision opportunities and creating alternatives. Eur J Oper Res, v.92, n.3, p.537–549. doi: 10.1016/0377-2217(96)00004-5

Keeney, R. L., Raiffa, H. (1993). Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Trade-Offs (1ed.). New York: Cambridge University Press.

Kerr, C. I. V., Phaal, R., Probert, D. R. (2014). Depicting the future strategic plans of the Royal Australian Navy using a roadmapping framework as a visual composite canvas. Technol Anal Strateg, v.26, n.1, p.1–22. doi: 10.1080/09537325.2013.843663

Konidari, P., Mavrakis, D. (2007). A multi-criteria evaluation method for climate change mitigation policy instruments. Energ Policy, v.35, p.6235–6257. doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2007.07.007

Lama, J. S. L., Dai, J. (2012). A decision support system for port selection. Transport Plan Techn, v.35, n.4, p.509–524. doi: 10.1080/03081060.2012.680822

Langen, P. (2004). Governance in Seaport Clusters. Maritime Economics & Logistics, v.6, p.141–156. doi: 10.1057/palgrave.mel.9100100

Leal-Junior, I. C., Guimarães, V. A. (2013). Análise da ecoeficência nas operações de terminais portuários com a aplicação de técnica de auxílio multicritério à decisão. Transportes, v.21, n.3, p.40–47. doi: 10.4237/transportes.v21i3.688

Lirn, T. C., Thanopoulou, H. A., Beynon, M. J., Beresford, A. K. C. (2004). An Application of AHP on Transhipment Port Selection: A Global Perspective. Maritime Economics & Logistics, v.6, n.1, p.70–91. doi: 10.1057/palgrave.mel.9100093

Lu, L., Anderson-Cook, C. M., Robinson, T. J. (2011). Optimization of Designed Experiments Based on Multiple Criteria Utilizing a Pareto Frontier. Technometrics, v.53, n.4, p.353–365. doi: 10.1198/TECH.2011.10087

Madeira, A. G., Cardoso, M. M., Belderrain, M. C. N., Correia, A. R., Schwanz, S. H. (2012). Multicriteria and multivariate analysis for port performance evaluation. Int J Prod Econ, v.140, n.1, p.450–456. doi: 10.1016/j.ijpe.2012.06.028

Magala, M., Sammons, A. (2008). A New Approach to Port Choice Modelling. Maritime Economics & Logistics, v.10, n.1-2, p.9–34. doi: 10.1057/palgrave.mel.9100189

Montibeller, G., Franco, L. A. (2007). Decision and Risk Analysis for the evaluation of Strategic Options. In F. A. O’Brien, R. G. Dyson (Eds.), Supporting strategy: frameworks, methods and models (1 ed., pp. 251–284). Chichester: Wiley.

Montibeller, G., Franco, L. A. (2010). Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis for Strategic Decision Making. In C. Zopounidis, P. M. Pardalos (Eds.), Handbook of Multicriteria Analysis (1 ed., pp. 25–48). Berlin: Springer. doi: 10.1007/978-3-540-92828-7_2

Montibeller, G., Franco, L. A. (2011). Raising the bar: strategic multi-criteria decision analysis. J Oper Res Soc, v.62, n.5, p.855–867. doi: 10.1057/jors.2009.178

Montibeller, G., Gummer, H., Tumidei, D. (2006). Combining Scenario Planning and Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis in Practice. J. Multi-Crit. Decis. Anal., v.14, p.5–20. doi: 10.1002/mcda.403

Murphy, P. R., Daley, J. M. (1994). A comparative analysis of port selection factors. Transportation Journal, v.34, n.1, p.15–21.

Notteboom, T. (2011). An application of multi-criteria analysis to the location of a container HUB port in South Africa. Maritime Policy & Management, v.38, n.1, p.51–79. doi: 10.1080/03088839.2010.533710

Onut, S., Tuzkaya, U. R., Torun, E. (2011). Selecting container port via a fuzzy ANP-based approach: A case study in the Marmara Region, Turkey. Transp Policy, v.18, n.1, p.182–193. doi: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2010.08.001

Paloyo, A. R., Vance, C. B., Vorell, M. C. (2010). The regional economic effects of military base realignments and closures in Germany. Defence Peace Econ, v.21, n.5, p.567–579. doi: 10.1080/10242694.2010.524778

Proença-Junior, D., Duarte, E. E. (2005). The concept of logistics derived from Clausewitz: All that is required so that the fighting force can be taken as a given. J Strategic Stud, v.28, n.4, p.645–677. doi: 10.1080/01402390500301046

Rosenhead, J., Mingers, J. (2001). Rational Analysis for a Problematic World Revisited: Problem Structuring Methods for Complexity (2 ed.). West Sussex: John Wiley & Sons.

Tran, N. K. (2011). Studying port selection on liner routes: An approach from logistics perspective. Res Trans E, v.32, n.1, p.39–53. doi: 10.1016/j.retrec.2011.06.005

Ugboma, C., Ugboma, O., Ogwude, I. C. (2006). An Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) Approach to Port Selection Decisions – Empirical Evidence from Nigerian Ports. Maritime Economics & Logistics, v.8, 251–266. doi: 10.1057/palgrave.mel.9100160

USA. (2010). Department of the Navy. Naval Operations Concept 2010. Washington. <http://www.navy.mil/maritime/noc/NOC2010.pdf‎>

Wallenius, J., Dyer, J. S., Fishburn, P. C., Steuer, R. E., Zionts, S., Deb, K. (2008). Multiple Criteria Decision Making, Multiattribute Utility Theory: Recent Accomplishments and What Lies Ahead. Management Science, v.54, n.7, p.1336–1349. doi: 10.1287/mnsc.1070.0838

Downloads

Publicado

21-04-2016

Como Citar

Caruzzo, A., Barros Cardoso, P. R., Vieira Junior, H., & Belderrain, M. C. N. (2016). Strategic decisions in transport: a case study for a naval base selection in Brazil. TRANSPORTES, 24(1), 5–18. https://doi.org/10.14295/transportes.v24i1.874

Edição

Seção

Artigos